Drone Swarm Mission Chain

Created by Dr. Greg Parnell and Dr. Sam Savage.

Each drone passes through five uncertain stages: Deploy → Available → Reliable → Survive → Mission.

The number of drones sent in the swarm and the test data can be changed.

Static Mode uses average probabilities. Stochastic Mode generates 10,000 possible futures. Use the Trial slider to view individual futures.

Increasing Tests improves confidence but does not change observed success rates.

The ChanceOmeter™ shows the probability of achieving the required number of successful missions.

Cost = Number Sent × Unit Cost